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Jake Dennie🔸️'s avatar

I'm down for a book brigade for Situational Awareness in June!

I wonder which will come first: AI agent models get pretty good at computer use, or a decent number of sites realize they can get a huge advantage by exposing an API that AI agents can use more easily. If Priceline allows Operator to book via API and Booking(dot)com doesn't, I know which one my vacation planner agent will use

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Emerald Fleur's avatar

These are all intriguing enough to keep an eye on manifold markets for these predictions, especially on the order of magnitude questions.

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Daniel Reeves's avatar

Paraphrasing responses I got posing these elsewhere:

1. Yes, easily

2. Unsure

3. Doubtful

4. 30% chance

5. Sounds hard to resolve

6. Seems fast

7. 5% chance

8. 10% chance

9. 40% conditional on the stock market surging

10. 80% but then a reversion

11+. Unsure

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